The Public Ledger

Legislative Assembly · District of Eureka

Paul Ballinger

Last verified 29 Sept 2026

One Nation
Candidate photo — pending
Seat context — Eureka›
Illustration pending

Eureka is a Legislative Assembly seat covering east/south-east Ballarat suburbs (Eureka, Brown Hill, Ballarat East, Golden Point, Canadian, Mount Pleasant, Mount Clear, Mount Helen and Buninyong) plus large parts of the Golden Plains and Moorabool shires. It was created by the 2021 redistribution and first contested at the 2022 election, largely replacing the abolished district of Buninyong. Labor's Michaela Settle, the sitting Member for Buninyong, recontested and won the new seat of Eureka in 2022, defeating the Liberal candidate 57.2%-42.8% (a 14.3-point margin). The 2026 field is seven candidates: Labor's Michaela Settle, the Liberals' Emma Muir, the Greens' Sam McColl, One Nation's Paul Ballinger, Family First's Ian Harkness, the Animal Justice Party's Wendy Morrison and the Victorian Socialists' Andy Raven. At the 2022 election Settle won 41.0% of first preferences.

Identity & ballot position§ 01
House
Legislative Assembly
Seat
Eureka
Incumbent
No
Party
One Nation
Ballot position
Not yet assigned
§ 02

Background

Occupation / profession

His One Nation page lists 30 years in finance, and work as a qualified carpenter/joiner, construction supervisor, video hire business owner and retail newsagency proprietor. SSelf-stated — ON-PBOne Nation Victoria, "Paul Ballinger for Eureka"View source

A roundup of the field says he ran two Ballarat retail businesses, a video hire shop and a newsagency. RReported — WVB-EUREKAWest Vic Brolga, "Victorian Election 2026: Western Victorian Candidates"View source

Prior public roles
No council term, party office or public appointment is mentioned in his profile.
Local ties
Says he was born and raised in Ballarat, lives in the Eureka electorate area and is a father of five. SSelf-stated — ON-PBOne Nation Victoria, "Paul Ballinger for Eureka"View source
Education
Not detailed in sources reviewed.
§ 03

Platform

Where they stand, issue by issue — grounded in 2026 Victorian polling, not assumed. Every position is tagged with how we know it.

Stated top campaign priorities

Cost-of-living relief, community safety, road repair, timely healthcare, fiscal responsibility and less government intervention.

"Victoria needs to be revitalised, less government intervention, and focus on providing great services and encourage investment into our state."

SSelf-stated — ON-PBOne Nation Victoria, "Paul Ballinger for Eureka"View sourceSSelf-stated — ON-PBOne Nation Victoria, "Paul Ballinger for Eureka"View source

What Victorians say matters most

5 poll-led issues

Cost of living and crime have ranked 1st or 2nd in every Victorian poll since mid‑2025, with debt and housing close behind — see schema §3 for the polling this grouping is based on (DemosAU, Ipsos Issues Monitor, Roy Morgan). The 0-10 'priorityScore' on each candidate's issue entries is NOT a measure of true importance or an independent ranking of what a candidate actually cares about. It reflects how much detail and specificity exists in what that candidate has actually said publicly on that issue -- a named policy mechanism and a verified voting record score higher than a one-line stated priority, regardless of the issue's real-world weight. Render this distinction in the UI wherever the score appears; do not label it just 'Priority' without the qualifier.

Cost of living

iWhat this coversPosition on everyday household costs — groceries, utilities, insurance, transport.
Candidate’s priority5 / 10

Names cost-of-living relief for Victorians as his first priority.

The One Nation Victoria platform, as summarised by the Australian Election Tracker, would remove insurance duty on premiums and end renewable subsidies; nothing is attributed to Ballinger personally.

SSelf-stated — ON-PBOne Nation Victoria, "Paul Ballinger for Eureka"View sourceRReported — ET-ON-POLICYAustralian Election Tracker, "One Nation policy profile — 2026 Victorian election"View source

Crime and community safety

iWhat this coversPosition on crime rates, policing and community safety, including youth crime and bail law.
Candidate’s priority4 / 10

Names community safety and security as a priority.

The party platform, as summarised by the Australian Election Tracker, would tighten bail and sentencing for repeat youth offenders.

SSelf-stated — ON-PBOne Nation Victoria, "Paul Ballinger for Eureka"View sourceRReported — ET-ON-POLICYAustralian Election Tracker, "One Nation policy profile — 2026 Victorian election"View source

Housing affordability and supply

iWhat this coversPosition on home ownership costs, rental affordability, and housing supply/planning.
Candidate’s priority1 / 10

The party platform, as summarised by the Australian Election Tracker, would ban foreign ownership of residential property; nothing is attributed to Ballinger personally.

RReported — ET-ON-POLICYAustralian Election Tracker, "One Nation policy profile — 2026 Victorian election"View source

State government debt and fiscal management

iWhat this coversPosition on debt levels and what they mean for future taxes and service funding.
Candidate’s priority5 / 10

Names fiscal responsibility in service delivery, reduced government intervention and state investment as priorities.

The party platform, as summarised by the Australian Election Tracker, would run a comprehensive spending review and phase out payroll tax.

SSelf-stated — ON-PBOne Nation Victoria, "Paul Ballinger for Eureka"View sourceRReported — ET-ON-POLICYAustralian Election Tracker, "One Nation policy profile — 2026 Victorian election"View source

Infrastructure and public transport delivery

iWhat this coversPosition on congestion, commute reliability, and cost/timeline overruns on major projects.
Candidate’s priority4 / 10

Names repair of road damage as a priority.

Roundup coverage lists pothole repairs among his priorities.

SSelf-stated — ON-PBOne Nation Victoria, "Paul Ballinger for Eureka"View sourceRReported — WVB-EUREKAWest Vic Brolga, "Victorian Election 2026: Western Victorian Candidates"View source

Also on the record

6 substance issues

These don't top “biggest issue” polling, but carry real 2026 policy weight and genuine differences between parties.

Education and training

iWhat this coversPosition on school funding and infrastructure, curriculum and teaching quality, university funding and research, and TAFE/VET.
Candidate’s priority1 / 10

The party platform, as summarised by the Australian Election Tracker, would establish elected school boards with a parent majority; nothing is attributed to Ballinger personally.

RReported — ET-ON-POLICYAustralian Election Tracker, "One Nation policy profile — 2026 Victorian election"View source

Health and healthcare access

iWhat this coversPosition on hospital and clinic funding, GP/specialist access and wait times, and ambulance performance including ramping.
Candidate’s priority4 / 10

Names timely healthcare access as a priority.

SSelf-stated — ON-PBOne Nation Victoria, "Paul Ballinger for Eureka"View source

Urban planning and housing density

iWhat this coversPosition on zoning and density, heritage and consultation processes, urban sprawl versus infill, and access to parks and green space.
Candidate’s priority0 / 10

Not detailed in sources reviewed.

Climate and energy transition

iWhat this coversPosition on renewable energy targets, offshore wind delivery, transmission infrastructure, and the reinstated State Electricity Commission.
Candidate’s priority1 / 10

The party platform, as summarised by the Australian Election Tracker, opposes Net Zero by 2050; nothing is attributed to Ballinger personally.

RReported — ET-ON-POLICYAustralian Election Tracker, "One Nation policy profile — 2026 Victorian election"View source

Treaty and First Nations affairs

iWhat this coversPosition on implementing the Statewide Treaty and the new Gellung Warl representative body, and on future local treaties.
Candidate’s priority1 / 10

The party platform, as summarised by the Australian Election Tracker, would oppose and repeal Victoria's Statewide Treaty framework; nothing is attributed to Ballinger personally.

RReported — ET-ON-POLICYAustralian Election Tracker, "One Nation policy profile — 2026 Victorian election"View source

Regional and rural Victoria

iWhat this coversPosition on water security, the native-forest-logging transition, road and service funding, and population decline in country towns.
Candidate’s priority0 / 10

Not detailed in sources reviewed.

Local & party context

2 fields

Not scored the way the eleven issues above are — these are fixed facts about the seat and the party, not positions with more or less emphasis behind them.

Seat-specific issues
Road damage and potholes. SSelf-stated — ON-PB, WVB-EUREKAOne Nation Victoria, "Paul Ballinger for Eureka"View sourceWest Vic Brolga, "Victorian Election 2026: Western Victorian Candidates"View source
Party platform alignment

His themes sit within One Nation's statewide platform. SSelf-stated — ON-PB, ET-ON-POLICYOne Nation Victoria, "Paul Ballinger for Eureka"View sourceAustralian Election Tracker, "One Nation policy profile — 2026 Victorian election"View source

No point of divergence was found.

V VerifiedS Self-statedR Reported— hover or tap any mark for what it means
§ 04

Track record & prior candidacies

Terms served
No elected office found in searches.
Portfolios held
Not detailed in sources reviewed.
Notable votes, bills, committee work
Not detailed in sources reviewed.
Previous candidacies

His profile mentions no prior campaign. SSelf-stated — ON-PBOne Nation Victoria, "Paul Ballinger for Eureka"View source

He is not among the candidates in the 2022 Eureka results. VVerified — WIKI-EUREKA-RESWikipedia, "Electoral results for the district of Eureka"View source

§ 05–08

Campaign, money & endorsements

Campaign logistics

Social
Not detailed in sources reviewed.
Contact
eureka@vic.onenation.org.au, 03 9072 0634 (per his party page); office 8 Prompt Lane, Pakenham. No personal social handles found.
How-to-vote card
Not yet published

Endorsements & Donations

Organisational
None reported in sources reviewed.
Individual
None reported in sources reviewed.
VEC disclosure
Not yet available.
Public funding

Per the Victorian Electoral Commission's funding guidance (vec.vic.gov.au, accessed 2026-09-29 via search snippets of its independent-candidate and registered-party funding pages), a candidate is eligible for public election funding if they receive at least 4% of first-preference votes in their contest, or are elected. Funding is reimbursed against an audited statement of campaign expenditure, and advance funding must be repaid in full if the threshold is missed.

Ballinger has not previously contested an election, so he has no funding entitlement from an earlier contest. One Nation did not field a Eureka candidate in 2022.

Dataset housekeeping

Nomination status
Expected — Listed as One Nation's candidate for Eureka on the party's own candidate page and by The Tally Room. No VEC nomination lodged yet — nominations close 4 November 2026.
Last verified
29 Sept 2026
Sources
See the Source register below — every V/S/R mark on this page names its specific source on hover.

Source register

ON-PB
One Nation Victoria, “Paul Ballinger for Eureka” — Party's own material — View source · accessed 29 Sept 2026
WVB-EUREKA
West Vic Brolga, “Victorian Election 2026: Western Victorian Candidates” — News outlet — View source · accessed 29 Sept 2026
ET-ON-POLICY
Australian Election Tracker, “One Nation policy profile — 2026 Victorian election” — Election tracker (third-party aggregator) — View source · accessed 29 Sept 2026
WIKI-EUREKA-RES
Wikipedia, “Electoral results for the district of Eureka” — Encyclopedia (crowdsourced) — View source · accessed 29 Sept 2026