The Public Ledger

Legislative Assembly · District of Eltham

Paul Byrnes

Last verified 30 Sept 2026

Liberal
Candidate photo — pending
Seat context — Eltham›
Illustration pending

The Eltham district covers Melbourne's north-eastern suburbs including Eltham, Eltham North, St Helena, Lower Plenty, Montmorency, Diamond Creek and Wattle Glen, plus parts of Greensborough and Briar Hill, spanning about 73 km² in the North-Eastern Metropolitan Region. Labor's Vicki Ward held the seat at the 2022 election with a two-party-preferred margin of 9.0% over the Liberal candidate. The district was created ahead of the 1992 election and was initially won by the Liberal Party, before Labor regained it at the 2002 election and has held it continuously since. The 2026 field is five candidates: Labor's Vicki Ward, the Liberals' Paul Byrnes, the Greens' Rachel Busbridge, the Victorian Socialists' Maeve Riches and One Nation's Jessie Weatherley. At the 2022 election Ward won 44.5% of first preferences and 59.0% two-party-preferred.

Identity & ballot position§ 01
House
Legislative Assembly
Seat
Eltham
Incumbent
No
Party
Liberal
Ballot position
Not yet assigned
§ 02

Background

Occupation / profession

Is a public service legal officer, per a search summary of coverage of the Eltham field. RReported — BYRNES-SEARCHFacebook / Wikipedia / The Tally Room, "Paul Byrnes - Liberal for Eltham"View source

Describes himself as a Commonwealth lawyer working on national security and emergency management matters. SSelf-stated — LIBV-PAUL-BYRNESLiberal Victoria, "Paul Byrnes — Liberal candidate profile" (15 May 2026)View source

Prior public roles

Is a former staffer to Liberal politicians Matthew Bach and Mary Wooldridge. RReported — BYRNES-SEARCHFacebook / Wikipedia / The Tally Room, "Paul Byrnes - Liberal for Eltham"View source

Says he has a long involvement with Scouts Victoria. SSelf-stated — LIBV-PAUL-BYRNESLiberal Victoria, "Paul Byrnes — Liberal candidate profile" (15 May 2026)View source

Local ties
Says he grew up in Eltham North. SSelf-stated — LIBV-PAUL-BYRNESLiberal Victoria, "Paul Byrnes — Liberal candidate profile" (15 May 2026)View source
Education
Not detailed in sources reviewed.
§ 03

Platform

Where they stand, issue by issue — grounded in 2026 Victorian polling, not assumed. Every position is tagged with how we know it.

Stated top campaign priorities

No personal statement of priorities was found; his campaign Facebook page did not load.

What Victorians say matters most

5 poll-led issues

Cost of living and crime have ranked 1st or 2nd in every Victorian poll since mid‑2025, with debt and housing close behind — see schema §3 for the polling this grouping is based on (DemosAU, Ipsos Issues Monitor, Roy Morgan). The 0-10 'priorityScore' on each candidate's issue entries is NOT a measure of true importance or an independent ranking of what a candidate actually cares about. It reflects how much detail and specificity exists in what that candidate has actually said publicly on that issue -- a named policy mechanism and a verified voting record score higher than a one-line stated priority, regardless of the issue's real-world weight. Render this distinction in the UI wherever the score appears; do not label it just 'Priority' without the qualifier.

Cost of living

iWhat this coversPosition on everyday household costs — groceries, utilities, insurance, transport.
Candidate’s priority0 / 10

Not detailed in sources reviewed.

Crime and community safety

iWhat this coversPosition on crime rates, policing and community safety, including youth crime and bail law.
Candidate’s priority2 / 10

The Coalition's bail and sentencing policy, per the ABC, would automatically deny bail to reoffenders under a one-strike rule and treat burglary, serious assault and attempted murder as adult offences; nothing is attributed to Byrnes personally.

RReported — ABC-BAIL-2026ABC News, "Victorian opposition announces bail, sentencing policy including 'one strike' bail rule"View source

Housing affordability and supply

iWhat this coversPosition on home ownership costs, rental affordability, and housing supply/planning.
Candidate’s priority1 / 10

The Coalition would lift the first-home buyer threshold to remove stamp duty on homes up to $1 million, per a housing-policy comparison; nothing is attributed to Byrnes personally.

RReported — UFINANCIAL-HOUSINGUFinancial, "Victoria State Election 2026: which housing policies are the best?"View source

State government debt and fiscal management

iWhat this coversPosition on debt levels and what they mean for future taxes and service funding.
Candidate’s priority0 / 10

Not detailed in sources reviewed.

Infrastructure and public transport delivery

iWhat this coversPosition on congestion, commute reliability, and cost/timeline overruns on major projects.
Candidate’s priority0 / 10

Not detailed in sources reviewed.

Also on the record

6 substance issues

These don't top “biggest issue” polling, but carry real 2026 policy weight and genuine differences between parties.

Education and training

iWhat this coversPosition on school funding and infrastructure, curriculum and teaching quality, university funding and research, and TAFE/VET.
Candidate’s priority0 / 10

Not detailed in sources reviewed.

Health and healthcare access

iWhat this coversPosition on hospital and clinic funding, GP/specialist access and wait times, and ambulance performance including ramping.
Candidate’s priority0 / 10

Not detailed in sources reviewed.

Urban planning and housing density

iWhat this coversPosition on zoning and density, heritage and consultation processes, urban sprawl versus infill, and access to parks and green space.
Candidate’s priority0 / 10

Not detailed in sources reviewed.

Climate and energy transition

iWhat this coversPosition on renewable energy targets, offshore wind delivery, transmission infrastructure, and the reinstated State Electricity Commission.
Candidate’s priority0 / 10

Not detailed in sources reviewed.

Treaty and First Nations affairs

iWhat this coversPosition on implementing the Statewide Treaty and the new Gellung Warl representative body, and on future local treaties.
Candidate’s priority0 / 10

Not detailed in sources reviewed.

Regional and rural Victoria

iWhat this coversPosition on water security, the native-forest-logging transition, road and service funding, and population decline in country towns.
Candidate’s priority0 / 10

Not detailed in sources reviewed.

Local & party context

2 fields

Not scored the way the eleven issues above are — these are fixed facts about the seat and the party, not positions with more or less emphasis behind them.

Seat-specific issues
No Eltham-specific issue is attributed to Byrnes in any source found.
Party platform alignment
No personal policy statements were found to compare with the Coalition platform, so most issues are left empty.
V VerifiedS Self-statedR Reported— hover or tap any mark for what it means
§ 04

Track record & prior candidacies

Terms served
No elected office found.
Portfolios held
Not detailed in sources reviewed.
Notable votes, bills, committee work
Not detailed in sources reviewed.
Previous candidacies

He is not among the candidates in the 2018 or 2022 Eltham results; the Liberals' candidates were Nick McGowan (38.81%) and Jason McClintock (35.6%). VVerified — WIKI-ELTHAM-RESWikipedia, "Electoral results for the district of Eltham"View source

No earlier election candidacy was found, so this appears to be his first.

§ 05–08

Campaign, money & endorsements

Campaign logistics

Website
No campaign website was found; a Facebook page (PaulByrnesEltham) and Instagram account (paulbyrneseltham) appear in search results, but their content did not load.
Social
Not detailed in sources reviewed.
Contact
Not yet published — no campaign email found. Facebook PaulByrnesEltham and Instagram paulbyrneseltham appear in search results.
How-to-vote card
Not yet published

Endorsements & Donations

Organisational
None reported in sources reviewed.
Individual
None reported in sources reviewed.
VEC disclosure
Not yet available.
Public funding

Per the Victorian Electoral Commission's funding guidance (vec.vic.gov.au, accessed 2026-09-29 via search snippets of its independent-candidate and registered-party funding pages), a candidate is eligible for public election funding if they receive at least 4% of first-preference votes in their contest, or are elected. Funding is reimbursed against an audited statement of campaign expenditure, and advance funding must be repaid in full if the threshold is missed.

Byrnes has not previously contested an election, so he has no funding entitlement from an earlier contest. The Liberals' 2022 Eltham candidate polled 35.6%.

Dataset housekeeping

Nomination status
Expected — Listed as the Liberal candidate for Eltham by Liberal Victoria's public team API (per the 2026-09-24 gap audit), The Tally Room and a campaign Facebook page. No VEC nomination lodged yet — nominations close 4 November 2026.
Last verified
30 Sept 2026
Sources
See the Source register below — every V/S/R mark on this page names its specific source on hover.

Source register

BYRNES-SEARCH
Facebook / Wikipedia / The Tally Room, “Paul Byrnes - Liberal for Eltham” — Candidate's own material and news (via search summary) — View source · accessed 29 Sept 2026
ABC-BAIL-2026
ABC News, “Victorian opposition announces bail, sentencing policy including 'one strike' bail rule” — News outlet — View source · accessed 29 Sept 2026
UFINANCIAL-HOUSING
UFinancial, “Victoria State Election 2026: which housing policies are the best?” — Commercial commentary — View source · accessed 29 Sept 2026
WIKI-ELTHAM-RES
Wikipedia, “Electoral results for the district of Eltham” — Encyclopedia (crowdsourced) — View source · accessed 29 Sept 2026
LIBV-PAUL-BYRNES
Liberal Victoria, “Paul Byrnes — Liberal candidate profile” (15 May 2026) — Party's own material — View source · accessed 30 Sept 2026