The Public Ledger

Legislative Assembly · District of Bulleen

Matthew Guy

Last verified 2 Sept 2026

LiberalIncumbent · seeking re-election
Candidate photo — pending
Seat context — Bulleen›
Illustration pending

Bulleen covers about 39 km² in Melbourne's north-east, including the suburbs of Bulleen, Doncaster, Templestowe Lower and part of Templestowe, within the North-Eastern Metropolitan Region. Created in 1985, it has been held by the Liberal Party at every election since its inception. At the 2022 election Matthew Guy (Liberal) retained the seat with 55.9% of the two-candidate-preferred vote against Labor — a 5.9% margin. Guy, a former state Liberal leader, moved from the Legislative Council to win Bulleen in 2014.

Identity & ballot position§ 01
House
Legislative Assembly
Seat
Bulleen
Incumbent
Yes — since 29 Nov 2014 Guy has held Bulleen since moving from the Legislative Council at the 29 November 2014 election, and was re-elected in 2022 with 55.9% of the two-candidate-preferred vote (a 5.9% margin over Labor). RReported — PARL, ABC-2022Parliament of Victoria, "Matthew Guy — Member profile"View sourceABC News, "Bulleen - VIC Electorate, Candidates, Results (2022)"View source
Party
Liberal
Ballot position
Not yet assigned
§ 02

Background

Occupation / profession

Sitting Member of Parliament for Bulleen in the Legislative Assembly, representing the seat since the 2014 election after previously sitting in the Legislative Council for Northern Metropolitan Region from 2006 to 2014. VVerified — PARLParliament of Victoria, "Matthew Guy — Member profile"View source

His official Parliament of Victoria profile currently lists two shadow portfolios — Shadow Minister for Public Transport and Shadow Minister for Ports and Freight — so he is not currently a plain backbencher. VVerified — PARLParliament of Victoria, "Matthew Guy — Member profile"View source

These portfolios were assigned in an opposition reshuffle under new Liberal leader Jess Wilson, reported by the ABC on 30 November 2025. RReported — ABC-RESHUFFLE1125ABC News, "New leader Jess Wilson to remain shadow treasurer under Victorian opposition reshuffle" (30 Nov 2025)View source

Before entering Parliament, a candidate profile lists his career history as director of research in Premier Jeff Kennett's office (1997–1999), then media adviser to federal Senator Rod Kemp, then chief of staff to Victorian Opposition Leader Denis Napthine (1999–2002). SSelf-stated — MRRA-BIOMacedon Ranges Residents' Association, "Matthew Guy — political contact profile"View source

The same profile states he went on to become government relations manager at the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) from 2004 until his election to the Legislative Council in 2006. SSelf-stated — MRRA-BIOMacedon Ranges Residents' Association, "Matthew Guy — political contact profile"View source

Independent reporting places him at the Victorian Farmers Federation as marketing and communications manager in 2003, between the Napthine chief-of-staff role and the ASIC job. RReported — WIKI-GUYWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

Prior public roles

A candidate profile lists him as a former Liberal Party branch president, secretary, vice-president and treasurer, plus a former State Council delegate and Policy Assembly delegate — self-reported party administrative roles predating his 2006 election, with no specific branch name or dates given. SSelf-stated — MRRA-BIOMacedon Ranges Residents' Association, "Matthew Guy — political contact profile"View source

No local council term, union office, or independent board/committee appointment is documented in his official Parliament of Victoria profile or Wikipedia biography, and targeted searches for a council or union role turned up nothing. RReported — PARL, WIKI-GUYParliament of Victoria, "Matthew Guy — Member profile"View sourceWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

His only documented pre-parliamentary organisational roles are the internal Liberal Party positions above. RReported — PARL, WIKI-GUYParliament of Victoria, "Matthew Guy — Member profile"View sourceWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

Local ties

Born and raised in Greensborough, in Melbourne's north-east — outside the Bulleen electorate — and as a student worked at the Myer department store in Doncaster, within the electorate. SSelf-stated — SITE-BULLEENMatthew Guy MP, "Bulleen District — campaign website page"View source

Now lives in Templestowe, one of the suburbs making up the Bulleen electorate, with his wife Renae and their three sons, according to his own campaign material. SSelf-stated — SITE-BULLEENMatthew Guy MP, "Bulleen District — campaign website page"View source

Education

Holds a Bachelor of Arts, with a stated focus on politics and history, from La Trobe University; a candidate profile dates the degree to 1995. SSelf-stated — MRRA-BIOMacedon Ranges Residents' Association, "Matthew Guy — political contact profile"View source

Has also stated, on his own campaign website, that he undertook postgraduate studies in Ukrainian language and culture at Monash University. SSelf-stated — WIKI-GUYWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

A 2013 Herald Sun profile reported that he "speaks Ukrainian, has visited relatives in the country many times and is a proud and active member of Melbourne's Ukrainian community," consistent with the stated Monash postgraduate study. RReported — HSUN-2013Herald Sun, "Planning Minister Matthew Guy a strong performer (John Masanauskas)" (6 Mar 2013)

§ 03

Platform

Where they stand, issue by issue — grounded in 2026 Victorian polling, not assumed. Every position is tagged with how we know it.

Stated top campaign priorities

As Shadow Minister for Public Transport, campaigning on a $2 billion plan to redeploy 25 three-carriage VLocity trains (freeing five for the Warrnambool line) to run six-carriage services on regional lines.

Told Parliament the top issues raised by Bulleen constituents are "youth crime, knife crime and home invasions," calling this the electorate's most pressing concern.

Local infrastructure and government responsiveness — North East Link impacts, park-and-ride capacity, and road redesigns affecting local traders — has been a recurring theme of his members' statements and adjournment matters through 2025-2026.

State debt and "Labor's financial incompetence" is a long-standing personal theme, reported by him as a top constituent concern in mid-2025 and previously a signature claim (Victoria's debt exceeding NSW/Qld/Tas combined).

Local school infrastructure funding is a live priority — told Parliament Birralee Primary School and Templestowe College have been neglected despite enrolment growth.

RReported — STANDARD-TRAINS26The Standard (Warrnambool), "Matthew Guy pledges six-car Warrnambool trains for all services" (1 Sept 2026)View sourceVVerified — HANS-BULLEEN0725Parliament of Victoria, "Bulleen electorate — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (30 July 2025)View sourceVVerified — HANS-BULLEEN0725, HANS-ROADS0425, HANS-PNR0225Parliament of Victoria, "Bulleen electorate — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (30 July 2025)View sourceParliament of Victoria, "Bulleen electorate roads — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (1 Apr 2025)View sourceParliament of Victoria, "Bulleen park-and-ride — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (5 Feb 2025)View sourceSSelf-stated — HANS-BULLEEN0725, AAP-DEBT22Parliament of Victoria, "Bulleen electorate — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (30 July 2025)View sourceAAP FactCheck, "Victorian Liberal leader's figures on public debt add up" (2 Oct 2022)View sourceVVerified — HANS-SCHOOLS0526Parliament of Victoria, "Bulleen electorate schools — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (5 May 2026)View source

What Victorians say matters most

5 poll-led issues

Cost of living and crime have ranked 1st or 2nd in every Victorian poll since mid‑2025, with debt and housing close behind — see schema §3 for the polling this grouping is based on (DemosAU, Ipsos Issues Monitor, Roy Morgan). The 0-10 'priorityScore' on each candidate's issue entries is NOT a measure of true importance or an independent ranking of what a candidate actually cares about. It reflects how much detail and specificity exists in what that candidate has actually said publicly on that issue -- a named policy mechanism and a verified voting record score higher than a one-line stated priority, regardless of the issue's real-world weight. Render this distinction in the UI wherever the score appears; do not label it just 'Priority' without the qualifier.

Cost of living

iWhat this coversPosition on everyday household costs — groceries, utilities, insurance, transport.
Candidate’s priority3 / 10

Reported to Parliament that "land tax" was one of the issues that "came back as big issues" when he canvassed Bulleen constituents.

No specific cost-of-living mechanism (a named rebate, cap, or tax cut) attributable personally to him was found; this issue sits mainly with the Liberal Party's broader "spiralling debt and taxes" messaging rather than a Guy-specific policy.

VVerified — HANS-BULLEEN0725Parliament of Victoria, "Bulleen electorate — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (30 July 2025)View source

Crime and community safety

iWhat this coversPosition on crime rates, policing and community safety, including youth crime and bail law.
Candidate’s priority8 / 10

Told Parliament that at Westfield Doncaster (in his electorate) "a car is stolen every 17 minutes in Victoria," citing this alongside youth crime, knife crime and home invasions as the top issue raised with him.

Earlier, as Opposition Leader, announced a "Police in Schools" policy costed at $50 million over four years, to place officers in ten "high-risk" secondary schools.

That 2018 policy drew criticism from the Australian Education Union as "disconnected from the needs of our school communities." No confirmation was found that this specific costed policy is being re-run for 2026.

VVerified — HANS-BULLEEN0725Parliament of Victoria, "Bulleen electorate — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (30 July 2025)View sourceSSelf-stated — 3AW-POLICESCHOOLS183AW, "Opposition leader Matthew Guy outlines plan to get police into schools" (5 Feb 2018)View sourceRReported — AEU-POLICESCHOOLSAustralian Education Union (Victorian Branch), "Matthew Guy must commit to funding schools not police in schools"View source

Housing affordability and supply

iWhat this coversPosition on home ownership costs, rental affordability, and housing supply/planning.
Candidate’s priority1 / 10

No platform statement attributable specifically to him was found on housing affordability or supply.

The party's current home-ownership/housing-affordability policy is fronted by colleagues David Southwick (planning and housing) and Nicole Werner (home ownership and housing affordability) under the Wilson shadow ministry, not him.

RReported — ABC-HOUSING1125ABC News, "Victoria's new Liberal leader Jess Wilson makes pitch to young voters, promising action on home ownership" (23 Nov 2025)View sourceRReported — ABC-HOUSING1125ABC News, "Victoria's new Liberal leader Jess Wilson makes pitch to young voters, promising action on home ownership" (23 Nov 2025)View source

State government debt and fiscal management

iWhat this coversPosition on debt levels and what they mean for future taxes and service funding.
Candidate’s priority5 / 10

In an October 2022 Facebook post, claimed "Under Daniel Andrews, Victoria's debt is forecast to reach $167.5 billion, more than NSW, Qld and Tas combined" — assessed as accurate by AAP FactCheck against then-published budget papers.

A 2022 statement, not a fresh 2026 claim, though it establishes a long-held personal position on debt.

The Opposition separately pledged in 2022 to legislate a debt ceiling for the state; it could not be confirmed whether this specific mechanism has been restated as current 2026 Coalition policy under Jess Wilson's leadership, so it should be treated as an earlier-cycle position, not verified current policy.

SSelf-stated — AAP-DEBT22AAP FactCheck, "Victorian Liberal leader's figures on public debt add up" (2 Oct 2022)View sourceSSelf-stated — AAP-DEBT22AAP FactCheck, "Victorian Liberal leader's figures on public debt add up" (2 Oct 2022)View sourceRReported — ABC-DEBTCEILING22ABC News, "Victorian opposition pledges to legislate a cap for the state's 'spiralling' debt as election promises mount" (2 Oct 2022)View source

Infrastructure and public transport delivery

iWhat this coversPosition on congestion, commute reliability, and cost/timeline overruns on major projects.
Candidate’s priority9 / 10

As Shadow Minister for Public Transport, announced a $2 billion plan for hybrid-electric and redeployed VLocity trains, including six-carriage services on every Warrnambool line service by redeploying five of 25 freed-up three-carriage trains.

Criticised the $69 million Bulleen park-and-ride as delivering just 370 spaces ("$186,000 per car space") while the government closed the 435-space Doncaster park-and-ride and the Eltham-to-Heidelberg rail line.

Told Parliament the government's proposed redesign of the Porter Street–Fitzsimons Lane intersection contributed to a local business (MarketPlace Fresh) closing, and warned a planned Bridge Street–Templestowe Road redesign risked similar harm to other traders.

As Opposition Leader in 2022, pledged to shelve (not cancel outright) the Suburban Rail Loop, saying signed early-works contracts worth $2.3 billion would not be torn up but funding would be redirected to health; this predates the current leadership and portfolio arrangement.

RReported — STANDARD-TRAINS26The Standard (Warrnambool), "Matthew Guy pledges six-car Warrnambool trains for all services" (1 Sept 2026)View sourceVVerified — HANS-PNR0225Parliament of Victoria, "Bulleen park-and-ride — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (5 Feb 2025)View sourceVVerified — HANS-ROADS0425Parliament of Victoria, "Bulleen electorate roads — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (1 Apr 2025)View sourceSSelf-stated — 3AW-SRL223AW, "Matthew Guy vows to shelve Suburban Rail Loop if he wins election" (2022)View source

Also on the record

6 substance issues

These don't top “biggest issue” polling, but carry real 2026 policy weight and genuine differences between parties.

Education and training

iWhat this coversPosition on school funding and infrastructure, curriculum and teaching quality, university funding and research, and TAFE/VET.
Candidate’s priority5 / 10

Told Parliament that Birralee Primary School has been "ignored for 12 years by the Andrews and Allan Labor governments" despite enrolment growing from 300 to 700 students, and lacks a multipurpose hall and covered outdoor space; separately raised underfunding at Templestowe College.

No current (2025-2026) statement on TAFE or university funding specifically was found; this is not his shadow portfolio area.

VVerified — HANS-SCHOOLS0526Parliament of Victoria, "Bulleen electorate schools — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (5 May 2026)View source

Health and healthcare access

iWhat this coversPosition on hospital and clinic funding, GP/specialist access and wait times, and ambulance performance including ramping.
Candidate’s priority6 / 10

In an adjournment matter, raised the case of an 86-year-old Bulleen constituent at Austin Hospital left without food or water for 48 hours awaiting surgery that was never rostered, attributing it to staff shortages rather than incompetence, and asked the Health Minister to meet the family.

As Opposition Leader in 2022, committed more than $6 billion in health pledges including hospital rebuilds/upgrades at Mildura, Wodonga, Warragul, Melton and a Werribee children's hospital, plus 2,000 extra mental health workers; this predates the current cycle and portfolio arrangement.

VVerified — HANS-HEALTH1124Parliament of Victoria, "Health system — Adjournment, Legislative Assembly" (26 Nov 2024)View sourceSSelf-stated — ABC-HEALTH22ABC News, "Matthew Guy's Victorian election health pledges top $6 billion amid questions over how they'll be funded" (17 Sept 2022)View source

Urban planning and housing density

iWhat this coversPosition on zoning and density, heritage and consultation processes, urban sprawl versus infill, and access to parks and green space.
Candidate’s priority9 / 10

Speaking against the government's Planning Amendment (Better Decisions Made Faster) Bill 2025, argued the Planning Minister already "has more power than any other planning minister in Australia. She does not need this bill," calling the bill "a hoax."

Argued genuine community-plan reform (putting more detail into the Victoria Planning Provisions) would deliver more homes than the government's approach.

Contrasted the Brumby government's 40,000-hectare expansion of Melbourne's urban growth boundary with the 7,000-hectare expansion under the Baillieu government, in which he served as Planning Minister.

As Planning Minister (2010-2014) he was nicknamed "Mr Skyscraper" for frequently using ministerial call-in powers to approve high-density developments, overriding local councils.

Track-record context rather than a current platform statement, but relevant to how his 2025 planning-power critique reads against his own history — see Track record for the Ventnor and Fishermans Bend rezonings from that period.

VVerified — HANS-PLANBILL1125Parliament of Victoria, "Planning Amendment (Better Decisions Made Faster) Bill 2025 — second reading, Legislative Assembly" (13 Nov 2025)View sourceVVerified — HANS-PLANBILL1125Parliament of Victoria, "Planning Amendment (Better Decisions Made Faster) Bill 2025 — second reading, Legislative Assembly" (13 Nov 2025)View sourceVVerified — HANS-PLANBILL1125Parliament of Victoria, "Planning Amendment (Better Decisions Made Faster) Bill 2025 — second reading, Legislative Assembly" (13 Nov 2025)View sourceRReported — WIKI-GUYWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View sourceRReported — WIKI-GUYWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

Climate and energy transition

iWhat this coversPosition on renewable energy targets, offshore wind delivery, transmission infrastructure, and the reinstated State Electricity Commission.
Candidate’s priority3 / 10

The Nationals (Coalition partner) confirmed in August 2026 that the VNI West transmission project is "dead, buried and cremated" under a Coalition government, favouring gas, extended coal operation and urban solar parks instead.

A Coalition/Nationals position (Emma Kealy), not a statement made by or attributed to him personally.

Under then-leader Brad Battin, the Liberal Party's first major energy policy announcement was to unwind/sell off the publicly-owned State Electricity Commission's renewable energy assets — again a party-level position, with no statement from him personally located.

RReported — ABC-VNIWEST26ABC News, "Victorian Coalition promises to scrap VNI West transmission line" (19 Aug 2026)View sourceRReported — ABC-VNIWEST26ABC News, "Victorian Coalition promises to scrap VNI West transmission line" (19 Aug 2026)View source

Treaty and First Nations affairs

iWhat this coversPosition on implementing the Statewide Treaty and the new Gellung Warl representative body, and on future local treaties.
Candidate’s priority2 / 10

The Liberal-led Opposition (under then-leader Brad Battin, with Shadow Minister for Aboriginal Affairs Melina Bath) pledged in October 2025 to repeal the Statewide Treaty Act within the first 100 days of a Liberal government and replace it with a new "First Nations Victoria" department.

Jess Wilson has indicated no departure from this position since becoming leader.

No statement personally attributed to him on the Treaty was found in any source checked for this profile.

RReported — ABC-TREATY1025ABC News, "Victorian Liberals will scrap Australian-first Treaty within 100 days if elected" (14 Oct 2025)View sourceRReported — ABC-TREATY1025ABC News, "Victorian Liberals will scrap Australian-first Treaty within 100 days if elected" (14 Oct 2025)View source

Regional and rural Victoria

iWhat this coversPosition on water security, the native-forest-logging transition, road and service funding, and population decline in country towns.
Candidate’s priority0 / 10

No platform content, in Hansard or media, was found attributable to him on regional/rural issues such as water security, the native-forest-logging transition, or country population decline — consistent with Bulleen being a metropolitan Melbourne seat.

Local & party context

2 fields

Not scored the way the eleven issues above are — these are fixed facts about the seat and the party, not positions with more or less emphasis behind them.

Seat-specific issues

North East Link construction impacts: has repeatedly raised noise, dust and "attenuation" issues affecting Bulleen residents and traders, including a proposed 53-metre exhaust smokestack near the Veneto Club, Belle Vue Primary School and Trinity sports fields with no stated air filtration. VVerified — HANS-BULLEEN0725Parliament of Victoria, "Bulleen electorate — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (30 July 2025)View source

Criticised the North East Link Authority's use of non-disclosure agreements with affected residents as "bullying." RReported — ABC-NELNDAS23ABC Melbourne Mornings, "Locals frustrated by North East Link noise pollution asked to sign NDAs" (7 Dec 2023)View source

The Porter Street–Fitzsimons Lane intersection redesign and a proposed Bridge Street–Templestowe Road redesign, which he links to the closure of local business MarketPlace Fresh and warns risks further local trader harm. VVerified — HANS-ROADS0425Parliament of Victoria, "Bulleen electorate roads — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (1 Apr 2025)View source

The Bulleen park-and-ride (370 spaces, $69 million) versus the closed 435-space Doncaster park-and-ride and closed Eltham-to-Heidelberg rail line — a specific local transport-capacity grievance. VVerified — HANS-PNR0225Parliament of Victoria, "Bulleen park-and-ride — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (5 Feb 2025)View source

The 309 and 905 bus routes were flagged by constituents as a local transport concern, alongside rising kangaroo-vehicle collisions near the Yarra River and fallen-tree obstructions in the electorate. VVerified — HANS-BULLEEN0725Parliament of Victoria, "Bulleen electorate — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (30 July 2025)View source

Birralee Primary School and Templestowe College both lack, per Guy, adequate facilities (a multipurpose hall/covered outdoor space at Birralee) despite substantial enrolment growth. VVerified — HANS-SCHOOLS0526Parliament of Victoria, "Bulleen electorate schools — Members statements, Legislative Assembly" (5 May 2026)View source

Party platform alignment

Aligns closely with the Liberal Party on fiscal messaging — state debt as a central attack line, a position he has personally championed since at least 2022 — and broadly with the party's transport-infrastructure scepticism of major Labor projects, which is now his own shadow portfolio responsibility. RReported — AAP-DEBT22, STANDARD-TRAINS26AAP FactCheck, "Victorian Liberal leader's figures on public debt add up" (2 Oct 2022)View sourceThe Standard (Warrnambool), "Matthew Guy pledges six-car Warrnambool trains for all services" (1 Sept 2026)View source

On treaty-first-nations and climate-energy (SEC, VNI West), no personal statement from him was found anywhere searched — those positions were sourced entirely to other frontbenchers (Brad Battin/Melina Bath on Treaty; the Nationals' Emma Kealy on VNI West).

His personal alignment with, or possible divergence from, those specific party positions could not be confirmed either way and should not be assumed from his general party membership.

On housing, the party's current home-ownership push is fronted by David Southwick and Nicole Werner, not him, though his Bulleen-area advocacy on park-and-ride capacity and road planning touches adjacent transport-and-development ground without a formal housing-supply position of his own on record. RReported — ABC-HOUSING1125ABC News, "Victoria's new Liberal leader Jess Wilson makes pitch to young voters, promising action on home ownership" (23 Nov 2025)View source

V VerifiedS Self-statedR Reported— hover or tap any mark for what it means
§ 04

Track record & prior candidacies

Terms served

First entered the Victorian Parliament via the Legislative Council, representing Northern Metropolitan Region from 25 November 2006 to 28 November 2014. VVerified — PARL, WIKI-GUYParliament of Victoria, "Matthew Guy — Member profile"View sourceWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

Moved to the Legislative Assembly at the November 2014 election, winning the seat of Bulleen (succeeding retiring Liberal MP Nicholas Kotsiras) and has held it continuously since, sworn in 29 November 2014 and still serving as at September 2026. VVerified — PARL, WIKI-BULLEENParliament of Victoria, "Matthew Guy — Member profile"View sourceWikipedia, "Electoral district of Bulleen"View source

No prior local-government or federal parliamentary service is documented — his political career has been entirely at Victorian state level since first winning Council preselection for the 2006 election. VVerified — PARLParliament of Victoria, "Matthew Guy — Member profile"View source

Portfolios held

After entering Parliament in 2006, was appointed Shadow Minister for Planning in opposition under then-Liberal leader Ted Baillieu, a role he held through to the Coalition's 2010 election win. RReported — SBS-GUYSIGHTSSBS News, "Guy sets his sights on Victoria's top job"View source

Following the Coalition's 2010 election victory, was sworn in as Minister for Planning on 2 December 2010 under Premier Ted Baillieu, continuing in the role under Premier Denis Napthine after the March 2013 Coalition leadership change, until 4 December 2014. VVerified — AUSPOL-BAILLIEU10, WIKI-GUYAustralianPolitics.com, "The Baillieu Ministry — Victoria — 2010" (2 Dec 2010)View sourceWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

Additionally held Minister for Multicultural Affairs and Citizenship from 17 March 2014 to 4 December 2014, alongside Planning, under Premier Napthine. VVerified — WIKI-GUYWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

Elected Leader of the Liberal Party and Leader of the Opposition on 4 December 2014, following the Coalition's defeat at that year's election. Announced his resignation from the leadership on 28 November 2018, two days after the Liberals suffered a heavy loss at the 2018 election. RReported — ABC-RESIGN18, WIKI-GUYABC News, "Matthew Guy resigns as Victorian Opposition Leader after Liberals' election battering" (28 Nov 2018)View sourceWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

Formally remained leader in a caretaker capacity until Michael O'Brien was elected his successor by the party room on 6 December 2018 — the end of his first stint as leader. RReported — ABC-RESIGN18, WIKI-GUYABC News, "Matthew Guy resigns as Victorian Opposition Leader after Liberals' election battering" (28 Nov 2018)View sourceWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

In opposition under O'Brien (December 2018 – September 2021), served as Shadow Minister for Finance, Shadow Minister for Jobs and Trade, and Shadow Minister for Business Precincts. RReported — WIKI-OBRIENSHADOWWikipedia, "O'Brien shadow ministry"View source

Retook the Liberal leadership on 7 September 2021, ousting Michael O'Brien in a party-room spill, becoming Leader of the Opposition for a second time. RReported — SBS-GUYRETURNS21, WIKI-GUYSBS News, "Matthew Guy returns as Victorian Liberal leader after ousting Michael O'Brien"View sourceWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

After the Coalition lost the 26 November 2022 election, announced the next day, 27 November 2022, that he would not contest the leadership again. The party room elected John Pesutto as his successor on 8 December 2022 (17 votes to Brad Battin's 16), formally ending his second stint as leader. RReported — ABC-RESIGN22, WIKI-LIBLEAD22ABC News, "Matthew Guy to resign as Liberal leader after second Victorian election defeat" (27 Nov 2022)View sourceWikipedia, "2022 Victorian Liberal Party leadership election"View source

Held no shadow portfolio in Pesutto's first shadow cabinet (formed 18 December 2022) but returned to the frontbench on 2 October 2023 as Shadow Minister for Public Transport, after a reshuffle prompted by Matthew Bach's resignation from the frontbench. RReported — WIKI-PESUTTOSHADOWWikipedia, "Pesutto shadow ministry"View source

Held that single portfolio through to the Pesutto shadow ministry's end on 27 December 2024. RReported — WIKI-PESUTTOSHADOWWikipedia, "Pesutto shadow ministry"View source

Following the 27 December 2024 leadership spill that made Brad Battin leader, was reappointed Shadow Minister for Public Transport and given the additional portfolio of Shadow Minister for Transition to Government from 7 January 2025; both portfolios were unchanged through the 11 October 2025 reshuffle. RReported — WIKI-BATTINSHADOW, WIKI-SPILL24Wikipedia, "Battin shadow ministry"View sourceWikipedia, "2024 Victorian Liberal Party leadership spill"View source

Jess Wilson replaced Brad Battin as Liberal leader after an 18 November 2025 party-room spill (19 votes to 13). Under Wilson's shadow ministry (announced 30 November 2025), currently serves as Shadow Minister for Public Transport and Shadow Minister for Ports and Freight — his status as at September 2026. VVerified — PARL, ABC-WILSONLEAD1125Parliament of Victoria, "Matthew Guy — Member profile"View sourceABC News, "Victorian Liberal MPs choose Jess Wilson as new opposition leader" (18 Nov 2025)View source

No record was found of him ever holding the Deputy Leader position (David Hodgett was his deputy 2014–2018; David Southwick was his deputy 2021–2022) — across both leadership stints he moved directly from backbench/shadow-minister roles to the top job rather than serving as deputy first. RReported — WIKI-GUYWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

Notable votes, bills, committee work

As Planning Minister, rezoned a 24-hectare farmland site at Ventnor, Phillip Island, for housing in 2011, overruling Bass Coast Shire, the Shire's own lawyers, an independent planning panel, and his own department's advice, all of which had opposed rezoning. RReported — WIKI-GUY, DOMAIN-VENTNOR12Wikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View sourceDomain, "Planning minister 'ignored documents'" (12 Jan 2012)View source

He then reversed the decision days later after public backlash. RReported — WIKI-GUY, DOMAIN-VENTNOR12Wikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View sourceDomain, "Planning minister 'ignored documents'" (12 Jan 2012)View source

The affected landowner sued the state, and the government settled out of court in August 2013 for a reported $2.5 million plus costs (over $3.5 million total). RReported — WIKI-GUYWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

The Victorian Ombudsman then investigated and reported in March 2014 that he bore ultimate responsibility for the rezoning decision and had refused to hand over documents the investigation had requested. RReported — WIKI-GUYWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

In July 2012, rezoned the former Fishermans Bend industrial precinct to the high-density "Capital City Zone," permitting housing for up to 100,000 residents without any accompanying plan for schools, transport, or open space. RReported — ABC-FISHBEND15ABC News, "Fishermans Bend development approval lacked infrastructure plans, Andrews Government report finds" (20 Oct 2015)View source

A 2015 expert advisory committee report commissioned by the incoming Andrews government found the rezoning "unprecedented in the developed world in the 21st century" for its lack of infrastructure planning. VVerified — ABC-FISHBEND15ABC News, "Fishermans Bend development approval lacked infrastructure plans, Andrews Government report finds" (20 Oct 2015)View source

In May 2017, while Opposition Leader, attended a dinner at the Lobster Cave restaurant in Beaumaris with Tony Madafferi, an alleged Mafia figure; the meeting became public via a Fairfax Media–Four Corners investigation and was dubbed "lobster with a mobster" in headlines. RReported — ABC-LOBSTER17AABC News, "Matthew Guy refers himself to IBAC over dinner with alleged Mafia boss Tony Madafferi" (8 Aug 2017)View source

Denied seeking donations and self-referred the matter to IBAC in early August 2017. On 31 August 2017, IBAC announced it would not investigate, stating the matter "does not fall within our jurisdiction" as it lacked evidence of a serious criminal offence. RReported — ABC-LOBSTER17A, ABC-LOBSTER17BABC News, "Matthew Guy refers himself to IBAC over dinner with alleged Mafia boss Tony Madafferi" (8 Aug 2017)View sourceABC News, "Matthew Guy: IBAC won't investigate lobster dinner with alleged mafia boss" (31 Aug 2017)View source

In August 2022, his chief of staff Mitch Catlin resigned after reports he had asked Liberal donor Jonathan Munz to pay over $100,000 to Catlin's private marketing business, with an email reportedly referencing "the original email agreement" between them. Guy said no contract was signed and no deal was in place. RReported — TND-CATLIN22The New Daily, "Victoria Liberal leader deflects 'deal' questions" (4 Aug 2022)View source

On 16 November 2022, the Victorian Electoral Commission referred its investigation into Guy and Catlin to IBAC, saying it had "not received full cooperation" and had "exhausted" its own inquiry, though it could not substantiate the wrongdoing allegations. RReported — ABC-VECREFER22ABC News, "Investigation into Matthew Guy and former chief of staff Mitch Catlin referred to IBAC by electoral commission" (17 Nov 2022)View source

Guy maintained "I've done nothing wrong" and said he had cooperated fully with the VEC. RReported — ABC-VECREFER22ABC News, "Investigation into Matthew Guy and former chief of staff Mitch Catlin referred to IBAC by electoral commission" (17 Nov 2022)View source

Previous candidacies

Before his unbroken run of election wins since 2006, unsuccessfully contested the Legislative Assembly seat of Yan Yean at the 2002 Victorian election as the Liberal candidate, polling 38.4% of the primary vote against Labor's Danielle Green (49.5%), who retained the seat. RReported — WIKI-YANYEAN02Wikipedia, "Electoral results for the district of Yan Yean"View source

No further unsuccessful candidacies or preselection losses were found on the record between the 2002 Yan Yean defeat and his first win (Legislative Council, Northern Metropolitan Region) at the 2006 election, nor at any point since. RReported — WIKI-GUYWikipedia, "Matthew Guy"View source

§ 05–08

Campaign, money & endorsements

Campaign logistics

Social
Not detailed in sources reviewed.
Contact
See Parliament of Victoria member listing.
How-to-vote card
Not yet published

Endorsements & Donations

Organisational

No organisational endorsement distinct from his own Liberal Party membership was identified as of 2 September 2026, despite checks of union/industry-body coverage (including the Victorian Chamber of Commerce and Industry and Police Association Victoria) and advocacy-group endorsement lists.

Two advocacy-group election-resource hubs that were located (Environment Victoria and Melbourne Friends of the Earth's 2026 Victorian-election pages) could not be fetched due to access errors this research pass.

Worth a manual re-check, since they are exactly the kind of source that could surface an endorsement or a confirmed lack of one.

Individual
No individual endorsement distinct from standard Liberal Party support (e.g. shadow ministry colleagues) was identified as of 2 September 2026, including checks for other politicians or public figures crossing party lines and for a Manningham-area local identity publicly backing him.
VEC disclosure
Not yet available.
Public funding

As a Legislative Assembly candidate endorsed by a registered political party (the Liberal Party), Matthew Guy's public funding eligibility is assessed at the party level rather than individually: per the VEC's own public-funding guidance for registered political parties, accessed 2 September 2026, a party is eligible for public funding if its endorsed candidates received at least 4% of first-preference votes, or were elected, at the election — a threshold the Liberal Party would satisfy regardless of Guy's own individual margin, given he is the sitting Member for Bulleen since 2014.

This 4%-or-elected threshold itself was not altered by the 2026 shake-up: the Electoral Further Amendment Act 2026, passed after the High Court struck down Victoria's donation-cap law in April 2026, reintroduced a $5,030 general donation cap (rising to $7,500 after this election) and a $1,250 disclosure threshold, but per the VEC's own guidance the Act "maintained eligibility for the other 2 streams of political funding: policy development funding and public funding" — the qualifying test for public funding itself was left unchanged even as the donation-cap regime around it was rebuilt. Both source pages flag themselves as under review following the 2026 Act, so this should be reconfirmed once the VEC finishes republishing final guidance.

Dataset housekeeping

Nomination status
Expected — Guy is the sitting Liberal MP for Bulleen and holds shadow ministerial portfolios, with no public statement found indicating he will not recontest in 2026. A formally 'confirmed' VEC nomination is not possible before nominations open on 4 November 2026.
Last verified
2 Sept 2026
Sources
See the Source register below — every V/S/R mark on this page names its specific source on hover.

Source register

ABC-2022
ABC News, “Bulleen - VIC Electorate, Candidates, Results (2022)” — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 19 Aug 2026
PARL
Parliament of Victoria, “Matthew Guy — Member profile” — Official government register — View source · accessed 19 Aug 2026
ABC-RESHUFFLE1125
ABC News, “New leader Jess Wilson to remain shadow treasurer under Victorian opposition reshuffle” (30 Nov 2025) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
ABC-WILSONLEAD1125
ABC News, “Victorian Liberal MPs choose Jess Wilson as new opposition leader” (18 Nov 2025) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
MRRA-BIO
Macedon Ranges Residents' Association, “Matthew Guy — political contact profile” — Local advocacy/community group profile — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
SITE-BULLEEN
Matthew Guy MP, “Bulleen District — campaign website page” — Candidate's own material — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
WIKI-GUY
Wikipedia, “Matthew Guy” — Encyclopedia (crowdsourced) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
HSUN-2013
Herald Sun, “Planning Minister Matthew Guy a strong performer (John Masanauskas)” (6 Mar 2013) — News (paywalled/archival) · accessed 2 Sept 2026
STANDARD-TRAINS26
The Standard (Warrnambool), “Matthew Guy pledges six-car Warrnambool trains for all services” (1 Sept 2026) — Regional news — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
HANS-BULLEEN0725
Parliament of Victoria, “Bulleen electorate — Members statements, Legislative Assembly” (30 July 2025) — Parliamentary record (Hansard) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
HANS-ROADS0425
Parliament of Victoria, “Bulleen electorate roads — Members statements, Legislative Assembly” (1 Apr 2025) — Parliamentary record (Hansard) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
HANS-PNR0225
Parliament of Victoria, “Bulleen park-and-ride — Members statements, Legislative Assembly” (5 Feb 2025) — Parliamentary record (Hansard) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
HANS-SCHOOLS0526
Parliament of Victoria, “Bulleen electorate schools — Members statements, Legislative Assembly” (5 May 2026) — Parliamentary record (Hansard) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
AAP-DEBT22
AAP FactCheck, “Victorian Liberal leader's figures on public debt add up” (2 Oct 2022) — Fact-checking organisation — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
AEU-POLICESCHOOLS
Australian Education Union (Victorian Branch), “Matthew Guy must commit to funding schools not police in schools” — Union's own material — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
3AW-POLICESCHOOLS18
3AW, “Opposition leader Matthew Guy outlines plan to get police into schools” (5 Feb 2018) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
ABC-HOUSING1125
ABC News, “Victoria's new Liberal leader Jess Wilson makes pitch to young voters, promising action on home ownership” (23 Nov 2025) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
ABC-DEBTCEILING22
ABC News, “Victorian opposition pledges to legislate a cap for the state's 'spiralling' debt as election promises mount” (2 Oct 2022) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
ABC-HEALTH22
ABC News, “Matthew Guy's Victorian election health pledges top $6 billion amid questions over how they'll be funded” (17 Sept 2022) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
3AW-SRL22
3AW, “Matthew Guy vows to shelve Suburban Rail Loop if he wins election” (2022) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
HANS-PLANBILL1125
Parliament of Victoria, “Planning Amendment (Better Decisions Made Faster) Bill 2025 — second reading, Legislative Assembly” (13 Nov 2025) — Parliamentary record (Hansard) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
HANS-HEALTH1124
Parliament of Victoria, “Health system — Adjournment, Legislative Assembly” (26 Nov 2024) — Parliamentary record (Hansard) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
ABC-VNIWEST26
ABC News, “Victorian Coalition promises to scrap VNI West transmission line” (19 Aug 2026) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
ABC-TREATY1025
ABC News, “Victorian Liberals will scrap Australian-first Treaty within 100 days if elected” (14 Oct 2025) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
ABC-NELNDAS23
ABC Melbourne Mornings, “Locals frustrated by North East Link noise pollution asked to sign NDAs” (7 Dec 2023) — Broadcaster (radio) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
SBS-GUYSIGHTS
SBS News, “Guy sets his sights on Victoria's top job” — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
AUSPOL-BAILLIEU10
AustralianPolitics.com, “The Baillieu Ministry — Victoria — 2010” (2 Dec 2010) — Independent political-reference site — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
WIKI-OBRIENSHADOW
Wikipedia, “O'Brien shadow ministry” — Encyclopedia (crowdsourced) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
SBS-GUYRETURNS21
SBS News, “Matthew Guy returns as Victorian Liberal leader after ousting Michael O'Brien” — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
ABC-RESIGN18
ABC News, “Matthew Guy resigns as Victorian Opposition Leader after Liberals' election battering” (28 Nov 2018) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
ABC-RESIGN22
ABC News, “Matthew Guy to resign as Liberal leader after second Victorian election defeat” (27 Nov 2022) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
WIKI-LIBLEAD22
Wikipedia, “2022 Victorian Liberal Party leadership election” — Encyclopedia (crowdsourced) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
WIKI-PESUTTOSHADOW
Wikipedia, “Pesutto shadow ministry” — Encyclopedia (crowdsourced) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
WIKI-BATTINSHADOW
Wikipedia, “Battin shadow ministry” — Encyclopedia (crowdsourced) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
WIKI-SPILL24
Wikipedia, “2024 Victorian Liberal Party leadership spill” — Encyclopedia (crowdsourced) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
WIKI-BULLEEN
Wikipedia, “Electoral district of Bulleen” — Encyclopedia (crowdsourced) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
DOMAIN-VENTNOR12
Domain, “Planning minister 'ignored documents'” (12 Jan 2012) — Property/real-estate news — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
ABC-FISHBEND15
ABC News, “Fishermans Bend development approval lacked infrastructure plans, Andrews Government report finds” (20 Oct 2015) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
ABC-LOBSTER17A
ABC News, “Matthew Guy refers himself to IBAC over dinner with alleged Mafia boss Tony Madafferi” (8 Aug 2017) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
ABC-LOBSTER17B
ABC News, “Matthew Guy: IBAC won't investigate lobster dinner with alleged mafia boss” (31 Aug 2017) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
TND-CATLIN22
The New Daily, “Victoria Liberal leader deflects 'deal' questions” (4 Aug 2022) — News — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
ABC-VECREFER22
ABC News, “Investigation into Matthew Guy and former chief of staff Mitch Catlin referred to IBAC by electoral commission” (17 Nov 2022) — Broadcaster (news) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026
WIKI-YANYEAN02
Wikipedia, “Electoral results for the district of Yan Yean” — Encyclopedia (crowdsourced) — View source · accessed 2 Sept 2026

1 of 43 source register entry is missing a confirmed URL — flagged rather than hidden, per the same standard this page holds candidates to.